Watchlist for 01/28/25 by Chris

by | Jan 27, 2025

Very big moves out there today – a great demonstration of how news can force a change in positioning. Overly bullish to neutral positioning is what we saw today. Yes things were down 15%, but many things have been up a ton over the last few months and no one thinks twice. The market can punish complacency on days like this. What I would expect to see next if the news continues to be relevant is a switch to more bearish positioning where we get a little bit of panic and people pile in short and load puts tomorrow – and by that point the positioning makes a bounce more likely and would make it sharper. The lower and longer the dip the better the bounce. Maybe 114 area or 110 and then looking for a change in action for a bounce. 

CRM was a nice example of relative strength on an ugly market day. Look for things that money is flowing to and that have some kind of reason (CEO positive X comments on DeepSeek highlighting the importance of metadata vs uder interface).

The rest of the market actually looked fine besides tech and AI related stocks. The Dow was actually positive lol just goes to show that this is a confined issue for now. The bigger thing to focus on this week is big tech earnings. META AAPL TSLA MSFT are key drivers of the market so they better come through on earnings. Also remember the Fed meeting is on Wednesday so that can move the market too.
So overall tomorrow I just want to see the action and find a setup that makes sense. Relative strength / weakness, trends and reversals, liquidity traps, breaking news etc. Lots moving out there so will see what makes the most sense in the morning. 

1 Comment

  1. Ty Chris!

    Reply

Submit a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *