Josh WL 11/25/24

by | Nov 23, 2024

Thanksgiving week. Been some wild price action over the years this week, stay ready for anything. Keeping an open mind is crucial. Couple things I have been noticing recently are the deadness and rotation out of the Mag 7. First hint is AMZN giving back the entire move from the 200 breakout the second is NVDA failing to continue post earnings. META just been chopping around below moving averages, MSFT in no mans land. What I have seen is strength in Small Caps and Sector Momentum in high growth spaces such as Nuclear Energy continuing, the plow into BTC post Trump(Elons BFF**TSLA)  and now Quantum Computing making a run. This shouldn’t come as a big surprise if you look at the IWM and things like ARKK, its speculative money out there. Whether this trend of money flow out of megacaps into small-mid caps continues remains to be seen, it can, it can also be a signal of weakness to come. Just noticing that short traders have to be beyond frustrated here for the most part. I am not talking about intraday guys, im talking about the population that has been holding stocks short, it has been terrible for a year and a half and I honestly think a lot of people are afraid to short stocks here, I am not, though I do have my long-interest lists I am open to any scenario here albeit im not chasing just because things continue to rise.

Sector Watch – Uranium

CCJ – multi-decade breakout at $45 will see if it tightens up for another move

URA-building a great weekly base and watching for continuation

DNN- uranium miner


UEC- uranium and titanium miner building nicely if holds can be 9-10+ quickly

Sector Watch- Nuclear
SMR- a double since that Amzn partnership news i am looking for some sort of blowoff in next couple of days/week to see if there is a sell opportunity

OKLO- same space highely speculative name, this used to be a SPAC

NNE- ideally 37-40++++ blowoff, the day I am looking to short these is a day where they are all weak and nuclear energy is selling off, ideally power names selling off too until then, its a knife fight.

Bitcoin Names- Everyone wants 100k BTC right, what if that takes longer than people expect for it to happen? Will sellers step in ? Remains to be seen but once again open to all scenarios here
MSTR- using as the head of the snake for all BTC momentum related stocks detached from the underlying on Thursday and a nice bounce on Friday- im watching vs 450-460 for next leg down. Sure it can bounce more but I am looking at a thesis where BTC can potential stall and people willing to pay less of a premium for their bitcoin

SMST- my preferred vehicle for trading MSTR, looking for firm over 6.50s for another leg up

MSTU-


MARA- looking to see a test of 27-28 see how that holds

RIOT – if BTC gets heavier will look here prob a cleaner short than the high octane MSTR related names with plenty of liquidity, best to be shorting relative weakness vs strength .

OTHER names
TSLA – lets see how 350-358 holds or doesnt for next leg or point of resistance

IWM- major relative strength on Friday

ARKK- staying strong with TSLA/ BTC

Parabolic watch for a short
QUBT

IONQ

DXYZ

LMND-

1 Comment

  1. Thank you, Josh!🙏🏻

    Reply

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